So, Drew Lock is your quarterback? You’re really doing this? OK. Drew Lock it is…
The Seattle Seahawks begin the post-Russell Wilson years with Lock as their guy for 2022 — and according to reports, the team wasn’t interested in any other QB options (Baker Mayfield or Deshaun Watson) after trading away the face of the franchise in March.
Pete Carroll is coming off his first losing season in a dozen years as head coach in the Emerald City after the Seahawks finished 7-10 SU (9-8 ATS) in 2021. He’s the third overall favorite to be the first head coach fired in 2022 with the Seahawks’ NFL odds calling for another regression in victories.
When it rains it pours, especially in the Pacific Northwest. Get out the umbrellas, here’s our Seattle Seahawks 2022 betting preview.
Seattle Seahawks futures odds
| To win Super Bowl | +20,000 |
| To win conference | +10,000 |
| To win division | +2,000 |
| Season Win Total O/U | 6 (Under -120) |
| To Make Playoffs | Yes +450 / No -600 |
Best futures bet: Under 6 wins (-120)
If you’ve been following along with my NFL 2022 betting breakdowns, I’m pretty much going Under on wins for all the garbage teams. And Seattle is set up to be absolute garbage this year. Forgetting about Lock and how his play will impact the Seahawks’ top talents, we swing focus to a defense that’s making a dedicated move to the 3-4 under promoted coordinator Clint Hurtt.
This stop unit was all kinds of horrible in 2021 and outside of some shining stars in the secondary, it lacks the talent to push back against a schedule that features not only constant quality divisional foes in the NFC West, but also draws the QB-loaded AFC West and a Munich matchup with Tom Brady and the Bucs.
Seattle’s lookahead lines project four wins while the season win totals bounced between 5.5 (Over -140) and 6 (Under -120) from book to book.
Seattle Seahawks betting overview
What will win bets: Safe secondary
The Seahawks have one of the best safety combos in the NFL with Quandre Diggs and Jamal Adams anchoring a secondary that didn’t allow foes to explode for big gains, giving up just 49 plays of 20-plus and holding opposing passers to an average depth of target of just seven yards – not bad for a unit that spent more time on the field than any other.
The switch to the 3-4 aims to cause a little chaos after Seattle mustered a pressure rate of merely 22.1% last season. Making rival QBs hurry while limiting the amount of home run plays should lead to a few more turnovers. Slowing down the rate at which rivals score is key for a team getting the points most Sundays.
What will lose bets: Quarterback play
Carroll finally gets to run the ball without pushback but given the state of the defense, Seattle will be forced to throw in the second half. Then what? The current offensive line is no better than the group that ranked 25th in adjusted sack rate at Football Outsiders in 2021 and allowed Wilson to feel the heat on 27% of dropbacks (leading to that Week 5 finger injury which sunk the season).
The Seahawks’ best two offensive weapons – DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett – no longer have Wilson making banana-balls throws and instead are tethered to a guy who peaked as a rookie and got exposed once teams got tape on him. Defenses don’t respect Lock like they did Wilson and Seattle will miss the luxury of fear with the football.
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Seattle Seahawks game-by-game odds
Life in the NFC West was tough enough when you had a future Hall of Famer keeping you competitive, but the Seahawks run a gauntlet in 2022 which ranks 11th in standard strength of schedule and tied for 12th in my QB SOS. Seattle is a point spread favorite in only four games and gets more than six points in seven outings.
After trading away Wilson in March, expectations for the Seahawks were low but rumors swirled about adding a quality quarterback. However, the team’s inactivity in the QB market has tacked on as much as 1.5 points to certain spreads when compared to Seattle’s lookahead lines in the late spring.
Seattle won’t be able to lean on the vaunted “12” in Lumen Field much in the opening half of the season, playing only four of its first 10 contests at home before the bye in Week 11 – a stretch that has the Seahawks getting five or more points in six of those games. Seattle was an underdog of +5 or higher only seven times in Wilson’s 10 years with the team.
| 1 | vs. Denver | +5 | 41.5 |
| 2 | @ San Francisco | +9 | 43.5 |
| 3 | vs. Atlanta | -3 | 44 |
| 4 | @ Detroit | +2 | 45 |
| 5 | @ New Orleans | +6.5 | 43 |
| 6 | vs. Arizona | +3 | 46.5 |
| 7 | @ L.A. Chargers | +8.5 | 47 |
| 8 | vs. N.Y. Giants | -2.5 | 42.5 |
| 9 | @ Arizona | +7 | 46.5 |
| 10 | vs. Tampa Bay (GER) | +9 | 47 |
| 11 | BYE | ||
| 12 | vs. Las Vegas | +3 | 46.5 |
| 13 | @ L.A. Rams | +10.5 | 47.5 |
| 14 | vs. Carolina | -2.5 | 41.5 |
| 15 | vs. San Francisco | +4.5 | 43.5 |
| 16 | @ Kansas City | +11 | 45 |
| 17 | vs. N.Y. Jets | -2.5 | 43 |
| 18 | @ L.A. Rams | +5.5 | 45.5 |
Seattle Seahawks Pro betting insights
Hitman, professional bettor (@Hitman428)
The league’s worst quarterback situation, combined with the league’s worst offensive line, is a recipe for disaster. I would selectively look to bet Under on Seattle games.
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